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Monday, November 25, 2013



Two American Diplomatic Impasses: Is there a Doctor in the House???

[1]  Karzai Refusing To Sign Bilateral Security Agreements.
[2]  Increasing Chill Between two American Allies—South Korea and Japan.

How do American diplomats deal with a recalcitrant bipolar Karzai who refuses to sign a bilateral security agreement with the USA in the midst of a four-day long ‘loya jirga’ [a meeting of 2,500 Afghan tribal elders and leaders]?
  Then how does SecDef create a rapprochement with President Park Geun-hye of South Korea whose father was a Colonel in the Japanese Occupation Army and  Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe,  whose grandfather was the architect of Japan’s Empire Builder ?
Abe’s grandfather was arrested by the Americans before becoming Prime Minister of Japan again. 
In two separate articles (posted earlier) in the Sunday  NYTimes,  one by Martin Fackler/Choe  Sang-Hun and the other by Rod Nordland,   these two American diplomatic problems were delineated.


In both cases,   the consequences of not resolving their respective differences would result in serious conflagrations.    What the seemingly different situations present are major problems for diplomatic negotiations.    Neither geopolitical nor Balance of Power considerations will be critical to the resolution of these impending crises.    What will be essential in ameliorating these problems will be a keen understanding of psychological dynamics and the different types of nation-state behavior.
Unfortunately,   most of our distinguished diplomats and White House representatives have never been trained in psychological dynamics nor nation-state behavior.    The absence of this type of knowledge was not a function of ignorance or malicious neglect.    The reason our different administrations make so many mistakes in  creating effective bilateral or multilateral agreements,   resides in the fact that most of the diplomats/ representatives have been inculcated in the legal/rational model school of thought.    Ironically,   the origins of the CIA was in the foresight of  Wild Bill Donovan [father of the OSS] to have recruited many anthropologists [e.g. Margaret Mead ] and psychoanalysts [e.g. Walter C. Langer] to study Hitler’s behavior.
 
Absent from present day tutorials on diplomacy or negotiations is the element of how different world leaders react in a variety of scenarios which have nothing to do with historical or geographical imperatives.    In the past,  the CIA  had a unit which was affectionately known in the Intelligence Community as ‘Nuts and Sluts’ where the distinguished psychiatrist,   Dr Jerry Post would develop insightful psychological profiles.    But the problem that occurred during my tenure in national security was  that Dr Post was writing a ‘Beethoven Symphony’ for most policy planners who could only play chopsticks.    They were not stupid just simply untutored in the ways to strategize these psychological insights.
 
Hopefully,   the Obama administration has one or two individuals who may be ‘exposed’ to the psychological tensions building up in two different parts of the world—Afghanistan and South Korea-Japan.    National Security Advisor Susan Rice has a very distinguished background,   having attended the exclusive all-girls school—National Cathedral in Washington D.C.,   where I happen to know that they do teach some psychology and child socialization theory.    Later Ms. Rice attended Stanford University where, quite frankly, ‘anything goes’ .    One can only hope that Ms Rice might be able to deal with Karzai—a well-documented  bipolar,  whimsical,  manipulative Afghan Leader who once owned a deli in Silver Springs,  MD.
 
On the other hand,   Mr Hagel,  a brave Vietnam vet,  entrepreneur,  former Senator,   has evinced no particular scholarship nor tutorial in psychology or nation-state behavior.
Not his fault since his path to politics was embedded in his past heroism and the daily requirements of manipulation and calculations in his role as Senator.     But nothing can provide him with the necessary tools to resolve the most contentious of all problems—an imminent conflagration between Japan and South Korea where China takes advantage of the USG’s inadequate understanding Asian psychology.

  Is there a ‘doctor in the house’ to help both Hagel and Rice and most importantly…..America?
  Will the administration’s pride allow them to bring in whatever skills are required to help them resolve psychological problems that can never be assuaged by dictat nor force structures?
Obamacare should be a clear demonstration to POTUS that without the notion of competency or implementation,   wishful thinking leads all well-intentioned leaders into the ‘inferno of misbegotten’ ills.
 Hubris Ate Nemesis!
 Pride proceeds is own punishment!

   

25 comments:

  1. When one has been trained to use a hammer, then no matter the problem, or context, one uses the tool that they have been trained to use. Honestly, these are probably very proud people, some with ivy league educations, who regrettably not only could not readily admit their shortcomings for the most part, i.e. no foundational knowledge of psychological dynamics & Nation State behavior, but really don't know what they don't know, nor may not even care to learn about these more advanced models and techniques because they don't know how much more effective they may be if they utilized them in there every day efforts. Or perhaps human nature being what it is, they may just be resistant to learning in general, i.e. intellectually lazy perhaps. Either way, in my not so humble opinion, it is not enough Dr. P to point this out in my opinion, nor to demonstrate it as I am sure you have in your own work, but perhaps you should offer a workshop on the topic for the sake of the State Department or whom ever you think could benefit from such a learning experience. (as if you don't have enough to do already I'm sure), giving some real life examples of how these techniques and this special knowledge may be used successfully in the present day context to solve problems as you have aforementioned between Nation States. In other words maybe you will have to go beyond inspiring those who could benefit from such knowledge, with your own enthusiasm, and success stories (real life examples) before any such technique or techniques become more widely utilized by the appropriate government officials. I think a distance learning / online continuing education seminar at a Ivy League School on the topic would be very cool. (Wishful thinking perhaps on my part). I guess there is a reason I've been called a bit of a dreamer. : ) I would sign up for the class if offered just out of sheer curiosity. Otherwise, I am afraid I will have to stick with chopstix. Please do a seminar on the topic Dr. P !!! : )

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    1. Dr P you've touched on a lot of issues here...

      First let me say that, true to your government tradition, I think you are exaggerating the importance of these two issues. These two issues represent sources of discontent between the respective antagonists but they will not escalate into armed conflict or anything which endangers people living in those countries, much less citizens living in ours.

      But your broader point is that the current gaggle of policymakers aren't very good at crisis management because:

      1.they fail to understand the motives and therefore cannot predict the future behavior of actors in conflict, and,

      2.They therefore assume that all actors behave rationally and therefore seek rational solutions which may not be attainable.

      This isn't a problem of the current group. This is an on-going problem of misperception which Robert Jervis first began writing about as a cause of war, and which has been extended massively in such publications as The Journal of Conflict Resolution, and other places....

      I don't think there's any shortage of scholarship on the subject of misperception and crisis management.

      There are legions of people in many agencies of government which have degrees in those studies.

      But despite these resources I agree that this expertise doesn't find it's way to the top, that is to say the White House, NSC, Sec.Def, Sec State, and so forth.

      Now about he history of psychological profiling in the OSS and CIA I have to differ with you greatly, and I think I have some expertise in that area as it was Walt Rostow and others of his generation who I worked with.

      The "Psychological Studies" of Hitler done by OSS, State and the War Department were all garbage. They relied on rumors about Hitler's personal antics which were all later traced to anti-Hitler propagandists in Germany. Many of these bogus sources told lurid tails of sexual inadequacy and kinkiness which were blended into a witch's brew of crypto-freudian nonesense to come up with monsterous images of Hitler which were completely divorced from reality.

      As for "psychological profiling" in CIA it was similarly distorted and bogus because it likewise usually relied on selective acceptance of "evidence" based on the institutional interests of the agency and the government and political factors.

      This garbage was ever-present in the 1980s when I worked with the Iraq situation. When the US government was opposed to Saddam Hussein then the psychological profiles painted him as a devil. Then when we changed our minds about his usefulness and wanted to befriend him miraculously we found all kinds of positive things to say about his mind and motives....

      It's all bureaucratic bullshit, and not one word of the psychological monographs I saw could be trusted.

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    2. The way to think about the composition of those "studies" is to remember the run up to the Iraq war and how all the "intl" was filtered and bad sources were used and everything was distorted to justify the image the policymakers wanted.

      That's exactly how these phony psychological profiles worked in my experience.

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  2. Forbes oped CALLS FOR OBAMA IMPEACHMENT:
    http://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2013/11/19/obamas-disdain-for-the-constitution-means-we-risk-losing-our-republic/

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  3. Dr. Pieczenik,
    I know you do consulting, but how about training the next generation of psychological/military/political/whateverthehellelse leaders?
    Torey

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  4. I'll answer your question! There is indeed already a Dr in the house! So how about it Dr p? I have just been reading an article on British army death squads in northern Ireland and thanks to reading some of your earlier posts it reads an awful lot clearer doc so indeed a spoonful of sugar makes the medicine go down!!!!!!!

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  5. Dr. Steve Pieczenik are you looking at this from the right angle??? The recalcitrant bipolar Karzai is only there to take orders. Orders from who??? ANSWER: CITY OF LONDON, England (headquarters for the BRITISH EMPIRE)!

    Dr. Pieczenik are you familiar with DOPE, INC.??? The invasion of Afghanistan was for OIL, Heroin, and any other resource found there! The recalcitrant bipolar Karzai and his (Karzai) brother are excellent DRUG TRAFFICKERS! Currently, about 90% of the WORLD'S Heroin now comes from Afghanistan; and this produces over $500,000,000,000.00+ (500 BILLION DOLLARS plus) annually in revenues going to the NEW WORLD ORDER coffers! The recalcitrant bipolar Karzai is very happy, because this is "MUCH BETTER" than any sandwich shop!

    Now, let us examine proper diplomats, given the mentioned situation! UNITED STATES Secretary of State John Kerry (SKULL AND BONES) is an excellent diplomat for the "JOB" of managing Afghanistan and the recalcitrant bipolar Karzai, along with his (Karzai) "EVIL" brother! U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry is a very good LIAR, VERY EVIL, DRUG SMUGGLER (SKULL AND BONES), and possibly maybe can handle himself.

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  6. To Dr. Steve Pieczenik M.D. Ph.D.:

    The C.I.A. and support (including WEED AND SEED) are intercepting my mail! When I went to my Bank of America branch (Callen's Common and Bristol St. Santa Ana, California) today (November 26, 2013 at about 5:30 p.m.), I was told there was NO MAIL for me today (November 26, 2013). Last week, I checked every day for the replacement order of my bank statements (sequence November 2010 to March 2012). The said branch personnel stated the said bank statements were sent via U.S. MAIL on Tuesday (November 19, 2013). So far, NO BANK STATEMENTS! WHY? Ever since the C.I.A. and support (including WEED AND SEED) have stolen my PLASTIC BAG on October 29, 2013, I have NOT been able to get all of my mail sent to the said BANK BRANCH (Bank of America branch at Callen's Common and Bristol St. Santa Ana, California)!

    I know for a fact the C.I.A. has been intercepting my mail at 3941 S. Bristol St. Suite D-237 Santa Ana, California 92704, because of the C.I.A. AGENT always hanging at the said location; however, recently, I have NOT SEEN said C.I.A. AGENT at Biz Support. In addition, there is strong circumstantial evidence of my mail be intercepted by the corrupt government at Biz Support, such as, the deal with replacing the lock on my P.O. BOX (237). The store manager will replace the lock; but, now, it will cost me $10.00, because she (said store manager) can not just switch the lock from another box--like the last and only time; and furthermore, if the said store manager replaces the lock, she (said store manager) stated she (said store manager) will RETAIN THE "KEY" TO MY BOX! Because, as she (said store manager) says, I have lost too many keys; however, the first key I received was "pick-pocketed" from me while I was sleeping outside by corrupt government agents; and this prompted the first and only said prior lock change (not $10.00)! The second key to the second stated lock was buried deep within my PLASTIC BAG stolen by C.I.A. and support (including WEED AND SEED) on October 29, 2013!

    Why am I still there? If my identity was NOT being illegally switched by C.I.A. and support (including WEED AND SEED), I would have left along time ago! Basically, someone else is being given my P.O. BOX 237 located at 3941 S. Bristol St. Suite D-237 Santa Ana, California 92704 (Biz Support); therefore, if I leave, said individual getting my identity just takes over my P.O. BOX 237 completely. This would seriously hurt my position further!

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    1. Hang in there Raymond. You have our best wishes!

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  7. >>Karzai—a well-documented bipolar, whimsical, manipulative Afghan Leader who once owned a deli in Silver Springs, MD<<

    I hold many things against Karzai, but in my opinion, being a deli owner is a good trait working in his favor. Obama couldn't run a deli. Biden couldn't run a deli. They only know that "deli" is an anagram of "lied."

    Does this deli still exist under a different owner?

    Let me tell you, if this world were to be run by deli owners, meetings wouldn't necessary go more smoothly, but oh, the catering!

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    1. "...necessarily go more smoothly..."

      OT: Watch the Huffington Post's Noam Chomsky video, where he denies a conspiracy on 9-11.

      Chomsky insists that people who think this way about Building 7 "spent an hour on the Internet" and "never went to an engineering school" and ridicules the Architects & Engineers for 9-11 Truth as a "tiny minority." He says that the Bush administration desperately wanted to invade Iraq, so why would they hire Saudis to do a false flag operation?

      I have some answers and comments for Chomsky's argument, but I'll leave that to myself and let others form their own opinions.

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    2. Several HuffPo commenters have recommended that Chomsky see a video such as this, by Susan Lindauer.

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  8. Back in the day we would call Chomsky a Candy Ass. When the pedal hits the metal they run scared. What is really disturbed and dislocated from reality is the avoidance of people from clearly seeing the lunacy of and totally staged Sandy Hook movie. It is mind blowing.........

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    1. Chomsky is a genius and dead on in most areas where nobody else is close to reality.

      However when it comes to some specific issues he's just as prone to error as anyone else relying on bad information and data.

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    2. If you really want to see the genius of Chomsky then watch him speak on the topics of cognative sciences, the nature of the mind, language acquisition and the like.

      For sixty years he's been a lone voice for recognition of the consciousness of the mind, as opposed to mechanistic theories.

      Everytime science has been able to disprove a mechanistic theory he criticized he's been proven right over and over and over.......again.

      The man's a genious about the most important thing that matters.....what are we?

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    3. One area where Chomsky is wrong is about the Nazis. He still believes in the allied propaganda about them, and appears to know nothing else. He's always holding out the Nazis as an example of a malevolent government. This is of course ironic given that Chomsky's greatest social critic is of financial/plutocratic elites, and these of course were the prime target of the Nazis. If Chomsky were a German in the 1930s he would have been supportive of the Nazis, all their populist programs, their opposition to Stalinism, and much else.

      He particularly would have supported their use of force and violence to achieve these populist goals.

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  9. And let me add that after the war when CIA aligned itself with former Nazis against Stalin that.....................

    LOW AND BEHOLD BUT REVISIONIST PROFILES APOLOGIZING FOR HITLER WERE THEN CREATED!

    Among the people I worked with Hitler was thought of as almost a visionary, and that the US's war against him was a mistake.

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    1. btw I agree. I think he was a visionary, and if you think otherwise it's because we disagree on the facts, not the interpretations.

      Anyone who accepts the facts I accept would agree with me that Hitler was a visionary.

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    2. And if you wanna only focus on the atrocities committed by Nazis....

      Remember that the allies, including Stalin, committed much greater atrocities.

      Remember also that as a revolutionary that Hitler had to rely on "the shooters" as my generation of Covert Action operators called them.

      By this I mean most people WILL NOT use the necessary violence to forcibly bring about outcomes in the real world.

      If you agree that transformational change is necessary then you have to rely on people willing to use violence, and it's impossible to expect them to recognize boundries.

      You know the same policeman you call and who saves you from an armed robber and is a hero is the same policeman who then goes to a batchelor party and rapes a fourteen year old stripper with three of his buddies.

      THAT'S THE NATURE OF FORCE IN THE WORLD.

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    3. For Hitler as well as George Washington making a better world was filled with "moral delimmas."

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    4. MITmichael Hitler was financed by SKULL AND BONES MEMBERS, such as, Prescott Bush (SKULL AND BONES) (SEE THIS VIDEO AT YOU TUBE: "The Bush Family, Wall St., Eugenics, Darwinism, and Fascism (full lecture)" posted by LaRouchesupport on May 23, 2012)! In addition, Prescott Bush (SKULL AND BONES) was a co-founder of the C.I.A. about 1947!

      Later on, both Prescott Bush (SKULL AND BONES) and George H. W. Bush Sr. (SKULL AND BONES) were complicit, through the C.I.A., to the assassination of President John F. Kennedy on November 22, 1963 (SEE THIS VIDEO AT YOU TUBE: "Conspiracy Theory W/ Jesse Ventura: JFK Assassination [Season 2, Episode 5] (Full Length • HD)" posted by Justin Wallis on December 15, 2010)!

      During the 1980 Presidential election, former California Governor Ronald Reagan was forced to take former C.I.A. DIRECTOR George H. W. Bush Sr. (SKULL AND BONES) as his (Reagan) running mate! Then, almost immediately after being sworn in on March 30, 1981 (69 days into office), there was an attempted assassination on President Ronald Reagan; and Vice-President George H. W. Bush Sr. (SKULL AND BONES) was connected (SEE THIS VIDEO AT YOU TUBE: "Ronald Reagan assassination John Hinckley Jr. [Bush family connection, CIA Mind Control, Mk Ultra]" posted by Truther Shirts on January 27, 2012)! Who was John Hinckley Jr. calling on that pay phone everyday??? Was it a C.I.A. contact???

      On June 6, 1968, in Los Angeles, California, Robert F. Kennedy was assassinated (SEE THIS VIDEO AT YOU TUBE: "Rare quality UNRELEASED RAW colour footage of the Robert F Kennedy assassination with sound" posted by grant rant on November 5, 2013)! Most people believe the C.I.A. (controlled by SKULL AND BONES) were behind the assassination of Robert F. Kennedy, primarily, because, the suspect assassin was connected to the C.I.A.'s MKULTRA (MIND CONTROL) PROGRAM; and there was more than one (1) shooter (C.I.A. AGENT/ASSASSIN ???)!

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    5. I have to disagree. Hitler was financed only by the fees levied on party members. The Nazis were the only party in Germany which charged it's members dues, and never paid their active duty members like the SA. The SA members had to purchase their own uniforms.

      Delete
  10. Here in Austin in 1991 a video emerged of several members of the City of Austin Police Department Vice Unit have group sex with a fourteen year old girl.

    But the whole matter was pushed off the newspapers when a week later four teenage girls were found raped and shot in the head in a Yogurt Shop. The crime was never solved, but the Austin police tried to frame three young men who lived in the area. The District Attorney here obtained convictions of the three, but their convictions were later thrown out due to exculpatory DNA evidence. Apparently the police knew all the time the three kids were innocent [not unusual here for police and prosecutors to frame people]. Many people here think the Vice Unit officers did it to distract the public from the video, which led to the FBI raiding their offices and the unit was disbanded. To this day Austin still has no replacement Vice Unit because no one trusts the Police Department to run it without such corruption.

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  11. Then five years ago the biggest court reporter in Austin, John Carroll, was discovered having dozens of video tapes of him having sex with dozens of kids aged 9 to 13.....

    These were kids in the Child's Advocacy Program who needed help from adults to negotiate their recent problems as crime victims, etc., often of sexual crimes.

    Carroll was a volunteer in the Program and talked the kids into having sex with him on camera many times.

    Apparently the kids were willing.

    That's Austin.

    That's Texas.

    If you wanna understand Vietnam, Kennedy, Johnson, the Iraq War and the Bushes....you gotta understand Texas.

    Dr.P should come here and make a movie about this place.

    It's all here.

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  12. To Dr. Pieczenik M.D. Ph.D.:

    EVERYONE MUST SEE THIS VIDEO: "Gerald Celente on Economic and Military Trends Across The Globe" posted by ALEX JONES CHANNEL on November 27, 2013!

    Dr. Pieczenik please go on the ALEX JONES SHOW A.S.A.P. and discuss the international issues going on, especially concerning IRAN and CHINA!

    The BRITISH EMPIRE (CITY OF LONDON, England) is trying to "set the stage" for a THERMONUCLEAR WAR!

    What is "NEXT" in the UNITED STATES??? Currently, just recently in an article in the Los Angeles Times (FRONT PAGE), the UNITED STATES PENTAGON is going to spend billions of dollars on various vaccines and counter measures to counter a BIO-HOLOCAUST! Therefore, they (C.I.A./F.E.M.A. controlled UNITED STATES Federal government) are "planning" to release bio-weapons most likely next year during 2014; and, at that point, they (C.I.A./F.E.M.A. controlled UNITED STATES Federal government) will "HULL" EVERYONE to the F.E.M.A. "DEATH" CAMPS to be "EXTERMINATED"! Basically, the NEW WORLD ORDER (George H. W. Bush Sr. (SKULL AND BONES) SPEECHES 1991) want a bio-holocaust with a subsequent nuclear holocaust, therefore, "EXTERMINATING" about 99.99% of the UNITED STATES POPULATION (330,000,000+ PEOPLE "EXTERMINATED")!

    The "MAIN AGENDA" of the NEW WORLD ORDER (CITY OF LONDON, England that reports to JESUIT ORDER) is the SIGNIFICANT "MASS-GENOCIDE" OF THE "ENTIRE" WORLD'S POPULATION BY WELL OVER 90% (UP TO 99% OR MAYBE 100%) (SEE THESE VIDEOS AT YOU TUBE: "population reduction after economic collapse" by George Green (FORMER INSIDER); "Project Camelot Interviews George Green - Part 1 of 2" (00:00 to 08:32) posted by Project Camelot (AUTHENTIC VIDEO) on April 16, 2008; "Q4: What is the significance of the 'Snowden affair' and Obama's Narcissistic response to it?" posted by Lyndon LaRouche PAC (AUTHENTIC VIDEO) on July 13, 2013; and Conspiracy Theory W/ Jesse Ventura: Secret Societies, Plum Island, Police State, Great Lakes, BP Oil Spill, and "Conspiracy Theory with Jesse Ventura S03E04 Ozarks" (6 EPISODES FULL LENGTH AT YOU TUBE))!

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